All constituencies in and around Watford are likely to remain Conservative, according to the latest YouGov poll.

The predictions, published yesterday night (Tuesday, December 10), are based on 106,612 interviews conducted over seven days up to and including Tuesday.

It shows the possible outcomes for all 632 parliamentary constituencies in England, Scotland and Wales.

Based on analysis of demographics, past voting behaviour and the likely turnout among different groups of people, YouGov has estimated the voting results for each seat.

This is the second 2019 General Election model produced by the research company, with the first poll published on November 27.

Here are the predictions for each constituency covering the areas in and around Watford:

Watford

According to YouGov, Conservative candidate Dean Russell is "likely" to become the next Watford MP after Richard Harrington decided to resign from his parliamentary duties:

Conservative - 46 per cent (margin of error: 39 - 54 per cent)

Labour - 38 per cent (30 - 46 per cent)

Lib Dems - 14 per cent (9 - 21 per cent)

Brexit - no data

Green - no data

Other - 2 per cent (0-5 per cent)

South West Herts

Like Watford, South West Herts is "likely" to remain under Conservative hands after MP David Gauke was expelled from the party - YouGov suggests.

Conservative - 50 per cent (margin of error: 40 - 60 per cent)

Lab - 12 per cent (6 - 18 per cent)

Lib Dems - 9 per cent (4 - 15 per cent)

Green - 1 per cent (0 - 4 per cent)

Brexit - no data

Other - 27 per cent (17 - 39 per cent)

Hertsmere

YouGov suggests that Hertsmere is a Conservative stronghold, and that MP Oliver Dowden is very likely to retain his seat.

Conservative - 60 per cent (margin of error: 52 - 68 per cent)

Labour - 22 per cent (16 - 29 per cent)

Lib Dems - 15 per cent (10 - 22 per cent)

Green - 3 per cent (1 - 6 per cent)

Brexit - no data

Other - no data

Hemel Hempstead

Hemel Hempstead is likely to remain Conservative, the polls say - meaning MP Mike Penning could keep his seat.

Conservative - 52 per cent (margin of error: 44-59 per cent)

Labour - 32 per cent (26 - 40 per cent)

Lib Dems - 13 per cent (8 - 19 per cent)

Green - 3 per cent (1 - 6 per cent)

Brexit - no data

Other - no data

Read about all the candidates: Unsure who to vote for? Here's a full list of candidates standing to be your MP